How to Use Fibonacci Retracement in Crypto Trading

Are you tired of being overwhelmed by the cryptocurrency market? Do you want to enhance your trading strategies? If the answer is yes, then you're in the right place. Crypto trading can be challenging, but with the right technical analysis tools, you can make better-informed decisions.

In this article, we'll dive into Fibonacci retracement, an essential tool that can help you identify potential levels of support and resistance. We'll explore the basics of Fibonacci retracement, how to apply it in crypto trading, and some examples of how it can be used.

What is Fibonacci Retracement?

Fibonacci retracement is a technical analysis tool that uses horizontal lines to indicate areas of possible support or resistance at the key Fibonacci levels before the price continues in the original direction. These levels are based on ratios derived from the Fibonacci sequence, which was discovered by an Italian mathematician known as Leonardo Fibonacci in the early 13th century.

In the Fibonacci sequence, each number is the sum of the previous two numbers: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, and so on. The ratio between any two numbers in the sequence approximates 1.618 or its inverse, 0.618. These ratios are known as the golden ratio or the divine proportion.

In Fibonacci retracement, traders use the Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100% to draw horizontal lines on a chart to indicate potential levels of support and resistance. These levels act as inflection points where the price may reverse or continue in the original direction.

How to Apply Fibonacci Retracement in Crypto Trading

To apply Fibonacci retracement in crypto trading, you need to identify a trend and draw two points on the chart. A trend is a series of higher highs and higher lows in an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows in a downtrend. You want to draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing high to the swing low in a downtrend, or from the swing low to the swing high in an uptrend.

Step 1: Identify the Trend

Before applying Fibonacci retracement, you need to identify the trend in the crypto market. This can be done by analyzing the previous highs and lows on the chart. You should look for a series of higher highs and higher lows in an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows in a downtrend.

Step 2: Find the Swing High and Low

After identifying the trend, you need to find the swing high and low. The swing high is the peak of the price movement, while the swing low is the trough of the price movement in the trend. You can draw a line connecting the swing high and low to create a trendline.

Step 3: Apply Fibonacci Retracement

Once you have the trendline, you can apply Fibonacci retracement. You can do this by selecting the Fibonacci retracement tool in your charting software, and clicking on the swing high and low. This will draw the Fibonacci retracement levels on the chart.

The Fibonacci retracement levels indicate the potential levels of support and resistance in the market, at which the price may rebound or continue the trend. However, it's important to note that Fibonacci retracement is not 100% accurate, and you should use it in conjunction with other technical analysis tools.

Fibonacci Retracement Examples in Crypto Trading

Let's take a look at some examples of how Fibonacci retracement can be applied in crypto trading.

Example #1: Bitcoin (BTC/USD)

Bitcoin Chart Example

In this example, we can see that Bitcoin was in an uptrend from July 2019 to February 2020. We can draw a trendline from the swing low of $9,049 in July 2019 to the swing high of $10,517 in September 2019.

Next, we can apply Fibonacci retracement by selecting the tool in our charting software and clicking on the swing low and high.

We can see that Bitcoin retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level at $9,783 in November 2019, before continuing the uptrend to the swing high of $10,517. The 50% level acted as a support level before the price continued in the original direction.

Example #2: Ethereum (ETH/USD)

Ethereum Chart Example

In this example, we can see that Ethereum was in a downtrend from September to December 2019, with a swing high of $364 and a swing low of $119.

We can apply Fibonacci retracement by selecting the tool in our charting software and clicking on the swing high and low.

We can see that Ethereum retraced to the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $209, before continuing the downtrend to the swing low of $119. The 38.2% level acted as a resistance level before the price continued in the original direction.

Conclusion

Fibonacci retracement is a powerful tool for identifying potential levels of support and resistance in the market. It can be applied in crypto trading by identifying a trend and drawing two points on the chart, and then applying the retracement tool to create inflection points.

However, it's important to note that Fibonacci retracement is not 100% accurate, and you should use it in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Remember that trading is risky and always do your own research before making any trades.

Here at Crypto Insights, we aim to provide you with technical analysis tools, alerts, and charts of crypto with forecasting to enhance your trading strategies. Sign up today to get access to our platform, and start trading smarter.

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Written by AI researcher, Haskell Ruska, PhD (haskellr@mit.edu). Scientific Journal of AI 2023, Peer Reviewed